The Romanian leu has appreciated sharply in recent days and is currently testing key resistance at RON4.2000/EUR. On a purely technical basis, a decisive breach of this level would set up further gains towards the stronger end of its RON4.1200-4.3500/EUR trading band.
We believe that appreciatory pressures have been building recently as a result of the looming presidential run-off election on December 6, which will lead to the formation of a new government and an end to a political crisis that has been in play since the beginning of October.
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